Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.437729 4.772985 5.138758 5.570809 6.071699 6.639862 7.341614
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.002739 4.439443 4.943937 5.580335 6.377888 7.368543 8.735089
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.689298 4.191884 4.799859 5.610731 6.700644 8.178516 10.470254
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.440429 3.989857 4.681471 5.651417 7.044977 9.111446 12.767377
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.301112 3.908052 4.703971 5.882000 7.707331 10.727457 17.139560
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.035133 3.635526 4.441681 5.673916 7.675817 11.241349 19.939697
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.907440 3.535850 4.406214 5.795877 8.209864 13.017879 27.989533
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.777707 3.421442 4.336929 5.855835 8.662888 14.919974 41.309297
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.606748 3.235462 4.144000 5.687672 8.656613 15.811162 55.019917
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.443684 3.049786 3.935872 5.468034 8.505214 16.294283 71.448679
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.412551 3.052967 4.017326 5.763043 9.520653 21.131526 360.703137
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.454765 3.167768 4.288085 6.460843 11.810496 35.883349 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.333575 3.037624 4.165293 6.424157 12.377623 46.504409 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.209671 2.894870 4.008175 6.293976 12.655489 58.686620 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.106118 2.777483 3.884612 6.217774 13.113112 81.748806 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.017159 2.677576 3.782866 6.174709 13.710760 132.723704 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.966263 2.635735 3.781603 6.365820 15.422474 785.021943 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.860491 2.497060 3.589746 6.067324 14.877360 1387.541219 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.808717 2.445060 3.555671 6.154778 16.254962 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.754171 2.384928 3.500597 6.180243 17.435397 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.678862 2.285587 3.362110 5.963707 17.102201 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.604144 2.184043 3.213167 5.701154 16.365822 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.590314 2.185728 3.266196 5.997824 19.579860 NaN NaN